Market Overview
Records Return as a Second Straight Cool Inflation Reading Clears the Fed's Path
Today's Moves
S&P 500 ▲ 0.65% Dow ▲ 0.13%
Nasdaq ▲ 0.81% Russell ▲ 0.24%
Nasdaq ▲ 0.81% Russell ▲ 0.24%
Weekly Performance
Week of Aug 10–13 (so far): S&P 500 ▲ ~0.5% Nasdaq ▲ ~0.4%
Dow ▼ ~0.4% — on pace for a third straight weekly gain for the S&P 500.
Dow ▼ ~0.4% — on pace for a third straight weekly gain for the S&P 500.
The Week's Theme
A one-two punch of tame inflation data — Wednesday's in-line CPI followed by Thursday's flat producer-price report — pushed September rate-hike odds down to roughly 35% and sent the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to fresh records, even as a wave of single-stock earnings swings (Workday, SanDisk, Tapestry, Cisco) drove the real action beneath the surface.
Market Breadth
Technology and communication services led, powered by memory-chip and AI-storage names, while the Dow lagged on Cisco's post-earnings slide. Small caps outperformed again, with the Russell 2000 closing at a fresh record for a second straight session.
July's Producer Price Index was flat month-over-month against a +0.2% forecast, with the year-over-year rate cooling to 4.7% from 5.5% in June — a day after July CPI matched forecasts at 3.4%. The back-to-back soft prints pulled September Fed rate-hike odds down to roughly 35% from about 50% earlier in the week.
Breaking
Producer Prices Come In Flat, Clearing the Way for a Fresh S&P 500 Record
- July's Producer Price Index was unchanged month-over-month, well below the +0.2% economists expected; core PPI (ex-food and energy) rose a modest 0.2%. Year-over-year, headline PPI cooled to 4.7% from 5.5% in June.
- Weekly jobless claims rose to 209,000, above the 202,000 consensus, though the four-week moving average held near 199,000 — still consistent with a healthy, if gradually softening, labor market.
- The soft inflation data followed Wednesday's in-line July CPI reading of 3.4%, and together the two reports pushed September rate-hike odds down to roughly 35% from about 50% earlier in the week, with traders now assigning about 63% probability the Fed holds rates steady.
- The S&P 500 rose ▲ 0.65% to a record close of 7,798.99, briefly topping 7,800 intraday for the first time, while the Nasdaq jumped ▲ 0.81% to 26,803.03.
Sector Focus
Memory Chips and AI Storage Lead a Broad Tech Rally
- SanDisk (SNDK) surged ▲ 13.7% after unveiling an 80% long-term gross-margin target at its investor day, built around new AI-focused flash storage technology.
- Micron (MU) gained ▲ 6.7% as memory-chip stocks broadly rallied, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising 0.46% to 12,456 on AI-driven demand.
- Super Micro Computer (SMCI) climbed ▲ 9.5%, riding the same AI-infrastructure momentum that lifted storage and compute names across the session.
- The rally in chip and storage stocks helped offset weakness in the Dow, where Cisco's post-earnings slide weighed on the broader technology hardware group.
Today's Winners
Workday's Buyout Talks Headline a Day of Big Single-Stock Pops
- Workday (WDAY) led gainers, soaring ▲ 17.8% on reports that private-equity firm Silver Lake is in talks to acquire the company.
- SanDisk (SNDK) jumped ▲ 13.7% on its investor-day margin targets, while Super Micro Computer (SMCI) added ▲ 9.5%.
- GoDaddy (GDDY) rose ▲ 9.5% as investors reassessed strong cash flow and AI traction following its earnings report.
- Micron (MU) rounded out the day's biggest movers, up ▲ 6.7% alongside the broader memory-chip rally.
Macro & Index Change
Cisco's Margin Miss Caps the Dow Even as Records Fall Elsewhere
- Cisco Systems (CSCO) fell ▼ 9.0% despite beating on both earnings and revenue, as investors focused on margin concerns and cautious guidance — the single biggest drag on the Dow.
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average still eked out a gain of ▲ 0.13% to 53,839.99 after swinging roughly 427 points between an intraday low of 53,622 and a high of 54,049.
- The 10-year Treasury yield eased about 5 basis points to 4.64% on the soft inflation data, while WTI crude fell ▼ 2.4% to $81.25 a barrel, Brent dropped ▼ 2.2% to $87.07, and gold slipped roughly 1% to $4,420.40 an ounce.
- Elsewhere, earnings-driven losses hit Tapestry (TPR) ▼ 16.5%, Virgin Galactic (SPCE) ▼ 13.0%, Cerebras (CBRS) ▼ 11.1%, and StubHub (STUB) ▼ 10.0%.
Looking Ahead
What to Watch Friday, August 14, and the Week Ahead
- July retail sales and core retail sales land Friday morning, alongside the preliminary University of Michigan consumer-sentiment reading — the last major data points before markets close out the week.
- Applied Materials (AMAT) reported after Thursday's close; Friday's session will show whether its record-quarter guidance on AI chipmaking demand extends the semiconductor rally.
- Follow-through in memory-chip and AI-storage names is worth watching after Thursday's rally in SanDisk, Micron, and Super Micro Computer.
- The Russell 2000's record run continues to be a headline theme, with small caps outperforming for a second straight session.
- Retailer earnings pick up next week, giving investors a fresh read on consumer spending after Friday's retail sales report.