Market Overview
Wall Street Kicks Off August With a Broad, Risk-On Rally
Today's Moves
S&P 500 ▲ 1.48% Dow ▲ 1.32%
Nasdaq ▲ 2.13% Russell ▲ 1.80%
Nasdaq ▲ 2.13% Russell ▲ 1.80%
Last Week's Gains
S&P 500 ▲ ~1.1% Nasdaq ▲ ~1.3%
Dow ▲ ~1.0% — a week of AI-earnings divergence (Microsoft and Amazon surged, Meta and Apple slipped) as the Fed held rates steady.
Dow ▲ ~1.0% — a week of AI-earnings divergence (Microsoft and Amazon surged, Meta and Apple slipped) as the Fed held rates steady.
The Week's Theme
Monday brought a sharp risk-on reversal after President Trump said he was pausing plans for further U.S. strikes on Iran to pursue a deal reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices tumbled, clearing the way for a broad rally led by Big Tech, industrials, and Boeing's long-awaited 737 MAX 7 certification.
Market Breadth
Gains were broad: roughly 87% of the Dow's advance came from just six names (Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Boeing, Caterpillar, Sherwin-Williams), while small caps and speculative names — nuclear, batteries, M&A targets — also rallied hard on the risk-on shift.
WTI crude tumbled ▼5.1% to $80.34 a barrel and Brent fell to roughly $83.24 (▼5.1%) after Trump said he was calling off plans for further strikes on Iran to pursue talks reopening the Strait of Hormuz — the sharpest oil decline in weeks.
Breaking
Trump Pauses Iran Strikes, Sending Oil Tumbling and Stocks Sharply Higher
- President Trump announced he was calling off plans for further U.S. strikes on Iran to pursue negotiations aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz and moving toward Iranian denuclearization.
- Iran's Foreign Ministry denied that active negotiations with Washington were underway, even as shipping through alternate routes off the Omani coast reportedly resumed.
- Oil prices tumbled on the de-escalation: WTI crude fell ▼ 5.1% to $80.34 a barrel and Brent slid to roughly $83.24, the sharpest one-day drop in weeks.
- The relief rally, paired with a strong ISM manufacturing reading, sent the S&P 500 up ▲ 1.48% and the Nasdaq up ▲ 2.13% — the market's best session in weeks.
Sector Focus
Big Tech and Industrials Power the Dow's Best Session in Weeks
- Six stocks drove roughly 87% of the Dow's 693-point advance: Microsoft ▲ 4.9%, Alphabet ▲ 4.93%, Amazon ▲ 4.64%, Boeing ▲ 7.93%, Sherwin-Williams ▲ 3.78%, and Caterpillar ▲ 2.24%.
- Amazon (AMZN) joined the $3 trillion market-cap club as shares topped $286.
- Boeing (BA) surged after the FAA certified the 737 MAX 7, clearing a decade-long delay and unlocking a key growth aircraft for the company.
- Semiconductor and megacap-tech names extended gains into the close as investors rotated back into risk on the Iran de-escalation and a batch of strong earnings.
Today's Winners
M&A Deals, Earnings Beats, and Palantir's Blowout Quarter
- Atkore (ATKR) led gainers, surging ▲ 28% after Prysmian agreed to acquire it for $95 a share in a $3.8 billion deal.
- CNH Industrial (CNH) jumped ▲ 16% after a Q2 revenue beat and a raised full-year guidance.
- Oklo (OKLO) climbed ▲ 14.8% as nuclear-power names tied to AI data-center demand kept rallying, while QuantumScape (QS) added ▲ 9.95%.
- Palantir (PLTR) rose ▲ 10.3% in the regular session, then jumped another 13% after hours once it posted 93% revenue growth and hiked full-year guidance — CEO Alex Karp called demand "otherworldly."
Macro & Index Change
Dow Notches Its Best Close in Weeks as Yields Ease and Factory Data Beats
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average led index gains, jumping ▲ 1.32% to 53,178.41, while the S&P 500 rose ▲ 1.48% to 7,600.49 and the Nasdaq climbed ▲ 2.13% to 25,913.90.
- Monday's rally builds on a positive prior week: the S&P 500 rose about 1.1% and the Nasdaq gained roughly 1.3% between July 27 and July 31, even as the Fed held rates steady amid dissent from three policymakers.
- The 10-year Treasury yield eased to 4.69%, down from around 4.73% last week, while the ISM manufacturing index climbed to 55.6 — its strongest reading since May 2022 — with factory employment rising for the first time in 33 months.
- The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) fell to 15.71, its calmest close in weeks, as oil's retreat eased investor anxiety over the Iran standoff.
Looking Ahead
What to Watch the Week of August 3
- Palantir's blowout earnings reaction hits Tuesday, August 4, after PLTR jumped 13% after hours on 93% revenue growth and a full-year guidance hike to $8.15–8.16 billion.
- AMD, SpaceX (its first report as a public company), and Disney are among the names reporting later this week.
- JOLTS job openings data is due Wednesday, August 5, a key read on labor-market tightness heading into Friday's jobs report.
- The July jobs report lands Friday, August 7 — the week's main economic event, closely watched for Fed rate-cut signals.
- The Strait of Hormuz remains the key swing factor for oil: Iran denies active negotiations even as Trump touts progress toward a deal.